Carnival Safe...But Easter Travel Facing DEVASTATING Spain Weather?!

Spain Breathes Sigh of Relief as Weather Calms After Weeks of Storms

Carnival Safe...But Easter Travel Facing DEVASTATI...

By Farah Mokrani

Published: 08 Feb 2026 • 21:18 • 2 minutes read

Atlantic fronts continue to shape Spain’s unsettled February weather. Credit: YouTube - Jorge Rey

After what felt like an eternity of biblical rain, howling winds, and frankly terrifying floods, a collective sigh of relief is sweeping across Spain. The big question on everyone's lips? Is the worst finally behind us?

We limped into February with the ground already saturated – particularly down south and in the west. Rivers were swollen, already straining after a relentless series of storms. Honestly, even a drizzle felt like cause for alarm. I know I was personally eyeing the sky with suspicion every time I left the house!

And naturally, everyone’s been turning to weather forecaster Jorge Rey for some guidance. His predictions have been getting a lot of traction, especially considering how accurate he's been so far this year.

Rey had warned us that early February would remain pretty turbulent, and he was spot on. He blames El Niño, saying it’s been pushing those Atlantic weather systems towards the Iberian Peninsula much earlier and more frequently than usual. This resulted in that insane rainfall in Galicia, Extremadura, and western Andalusia, plus the return of snow to the mountains, and even some surprising snow at lower altitudes up north.

However, Rey also flagged a shift around February 6-7, with weakening Atlantic fronts and building high pressure over the UK. And guess what? It happened! We’re now enjoying a much-needed period of relative calm after weeks of sheer chaos.

With Carnival celebrations just around the corner, Rey's message has been mostly reassuring. "Carnival was always going to arrive with relatively calm weather," he stated earlier this week. "Nothing too dramatic." A definite relief for towns where Carnival is a major tourism draw.

Now, he’s not promising perfect sunshine across the board. He's mentioned the potential for cold air at higher elevations, so expect some overnight frosts inland. And, of course, there might be isolated storms along the Mediterranean coast. But let's face it, compared to what we've just been through, that sounds almost idyllic!

Temperatures have already started creeping up, and Rey predicts further warming as we head into March. However, he’s also warning that new Atlantic fronts could bring rain back to western Spain and the Canary Islands around March 4-5. So don't pack away those umbrellas just yet.

And here’s the kicker: around mid-March, roughly March 16-17, he thinks we could see a return of stormy conditions, particularly in the southwest – Extremadura, Huelva, Seville, and Cádiz should be on alert.

But Rey's biggest warning is reserved for late March and early April. He believes a significant change in weather patterns could bring colder polar air southward, increasing the risk of rain, plummeting temperatures, and even – brace yourselves – snow during Semana Santa (Holy Week), especially in northern and central Spain.

"A bad Easter in the north and centre, with a strong chance of snowfall," he cautioned. So while Carnival looks safe for now, it seems we might not be out of the woods just yet. Keep an eye on the skies, folks!